Sock Puppets Aren’t Just for Government any more.

Headline:  What is a “sock puppet” when it comes to cryptocurrency?

Date: 7/31/2022

Body:    Everybody remembers that great Pets.com commercial with the cheesy sock puppet.  Great stuff and the marketing department can be justly proud of their achievement with this very cute little character.  But the sock puppets we are speaking of here are less cute, and adorable.     These sock puppets usually represent fake accounts, set up by somebody connected with a business; An example might help.  Let’s assume you own a doughnut shop.  Every now and then, a nice customer will write a Yelp review, explaining how “the cake doughnuts are fluffy clouds of pastry, and the cream-filled doughnuts explode with rich flavor.”  And they REALLY mean it.  But, let’s just say that you don’t feel that you have enough positive reviews.  What’s to stop you or somebody like you (lacking moral scruples) from opening several free e-mail accounts under fake names, and leaving positive comments on your bakery page, from these fake accounts?   Nothing.  There is nothing stopping you, and the accounts that your doppelganger had to open up, are called “sock puppets.”    Bakeries do this, authors do this to promote their book sales; It happens all the time.    Many claim that this is ok due to a moral relativism argument.   But it seems to me like an undisclosed attempt to sell more units by using a fake identity.   And, that, gentle reader, smells like fraud to me.

But it’s interesting when you see how these fake accounts interact with human nature.    Two different possible arguments come up here.    First, some suggest that when this kind of fraud is done, it is very obvious, and therefore does little damage.  I argue that this is not a cogent point because, often people are rushed during buying decisions, and don’t’ have the mental space to think rationally about such things.   So, only the surface positive content is processed in their brain.  The second use of sock puppets is to leave false information about your competitors.   If you owned that bakery, the local pie shop might be your biggest competitor.   If you were desperate, you might go out and get a number of sock puppet accounts and write very poor reviews of your competitor.

OK, but this could only happen to neighborhood businesses like pie shops, right?

Wrong.  There was a report in an Irish newspaper that a very major hotel chain “encouraged” (yeah, we can all imagine the Tony Robbins like speech here, right?) dozens of employees to provide positive reviews of the chain’s hotels on the site, TripAdvisor.   Per internal communication, the leaders wanted, “a more pro-active management of the reviews on Trip Advisor.”  Wow, that’s pretty blatant.  Per Jayne O’Donnell of USA Today, “Deceptive review sites are among the first things consumers searching for reviews on products including juicers or treadmills would find, but they come and go so fast, ,’it’s difficult for regulators to police them.”

So, what should you consider doing to keep from being suckered?

 Be VERY suspicious of an anonymous review. 

 Confirmed purchasers onlyà Some sites only allow people who have used a product or service to rate it.   This seems like common sense to me.  But, this is not always so.

Book ‘em, Danno

I would dearly love to say this to people who use sock puppet accounts to artificially jack up their popularity and denigrate competitors.    But, being a free society, I cannot.  The best we can do is be aware of how often this happens.   And it happens all the time, especially on Amazon.  (Sorry, Amazon.    You’re awesome for most stuff, praise be to Lord Bezos.  But, alas, you’re not perfect.)  Sometimes it is the mean spirited leaving of glowing feedback for one’s self, and leaving terrible feedback for competitors.  Sometimes, it is more  like teamwork.   Let’s say there was author A and author B, writing in a similar cognate area.  Both have new books about to be published, and A and B have a conversation.  Some sort of “Hey, you write me a good review, and I’ll write you a good review.” Happens.  If both genuinely like the other’s book, then all is well.  However, let’s say that B thinks A’s book is trash and ripped it up to use in her bird cage.  B is still hoping to receive a glowing recommendation from A, so, author B is not about to reveal their true feelings about A’s book.  So, the ratings will be artificially good.

Don’t believe me?   Well, maybe you shouldn’t.    Maybe you should instead, believe the experience of one of the most prolific authors EVER.  Mr. Stephen King is the Lord and Master of horror thrillers.   Even people not “into reading” recognize his name.   It  has become somewhat of a half-joke within the industry that if you could slap his name on the cover of sub-par literary pap, you would still have a spot on the New York Times Bestseller List.   Well, it would seem that this was proven feasible.  Mr. King wrote several books under a pseudonym, Richard Bachman.  Same author, same abilities, but Bachman’s sales numbers foundered until King outed himself as Bachman.  My point is that sock puppets, even when used intentionally concerning one’s self, make a real difference.  King himself commented upon this:

You try to make sense of your life. Everyone does it, but perhaps people who have extraordinarily lucky or unlucky lives do it a little more. Part of you wants to think that you must have been one hardworking S.O.B. or a real prince or maybe even one of the Sainted Multitude if you end up riding high in a world where people are starving. But there’s another part that suggests it’s all a lottery, a real-life game-show not much different from “Wheel of Fortune.” It is for some reason depressing to think it was all–or even mostly–an accident.

Yeah, the Internet is full of trolls, tell us something we didn’t know…

Well, it’s not so much as “you didn’t know” as it is, “you never thought about.”   Sock puppets can be easily involved in cryptocurrencies, and often, the stakes are much higher, so the technical acumen is much higher.   In many cases, hackers will use “bots” to write fake news articles engineered to ensure many clicks.  So, let’s assume that this happened in the books example.  Far too many of one book would be sold, and far too few of the other would be sold.  Good or bad for the individual authors, sure, but pretty harmless to the multitudes.  But, just think if one of these bots (and often thousands are used in concert) is programmed to talk up or talk down about an Initial Coin Offering, people could make lots of money on any such mis-priced currency.  And, where there are winners, there are sure enough losers also.  In fact, if too many trolls get into cryptocurrency, could we begin to lose faith in our fiat currencies?  (In fact, a battalion of bots is called a “botnet.”)  Sometimes, the bots are temporarily taken over by a human controller, and these are called, “cyborgs.”   This hybrid can give nuanced and occasional novel responses, making a bot harder to spot.

So, what can I do to make sure that it’s not a bot I am responding to?

You can do a lot, in fact:

 Check the profile informationà Often, when a bot is controlling, the account name is a random-looking string of numbers and letters.

Check to see when they joinedà If it’s very recent, there is a good chance that this is a bot, designed to fake results.

Check the number of followersà If the account is following thousands, and only followed by a few, it might very well be a bot.

Check the frequency of postingà If they post too often, that is an indication that it might be a bot.

Check the quality of contentà   A bot will often mangle language.

Check the number of hashtags usedàOften, to increase the number of hits, bot accounts will note a tremendously large number of hashtags.

It’s not 100% effective, but, if you see 2 or 3 of these “warning flags” consider carefully whether a sock puppet account might be involved.

The Verdict

In the Old West, it was legal for a sheriff to put together a posse of civilians and temporarily deputize them, for the purpose of capturing one suspect.    Given the people are not trained law enforcement officers, I don’t encourage large groups of citizens to arm themselves in the general public.  But, on this one subject, it will genuinely take collective action of every netizen to keep this suspect at bay.  If you suspect that a source is a bot, report it to Facebook, and identify it in whatever way you have access to.   It might seem like a game of Whack-a-Troll, where one is shut down and two more pop up.  But, each one you report is not there to misdirect a citizen who might not be as careful.

 REFERENCES

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidvinjamuri/2012/09/12/do-consumer-reviews-have-a-future-why-amazons-sock-puppet-scandal-is-bigger-than-it-appears/?sh=56e20bbf6de6

https://www.kaspersky.com/resource-center/preemptive-safety/how-to-deal-with-trolling-bots-and-fake-accounts

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

The Futures Market on Cryptocurrencies.

Headline: The Futures of Crypto

Date: 3/26/2022

Body:  OK, I have to make a confession.  From time to time, I become scared by how many people are piling into crypto.  But I was absolutely terrified when I read about cryptocurrency futures markets.

Why does this scare you (me) so much?

Let’s break down both parts, cryptocurrency and futures.  First of all,  cryptocurrency is really not based on well, anything  (There  seems to be a perverse bit of pride on this matter too.)  Usually, when a fiat currency bounces around, you can look at the industries within that nation to see their fortunes ebb and flow with the value of currency. But, with a cryptocurrency, there is no such industry to look for a correlation.  This is scary point #1.  Said a different way, “Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have already sucked an insane amount of money from the real economy,” said Bart Naylor, financial policy advocate at the consumer group Public Citizen. “Enabling more gambling under the banner of the SEC debases what’s supposed to be the gold standard of world securities markets oversight.” Scary point #2 is the futures. 

In the beginning, futures markets were a good idea, in that they helped to moderate risk.   For instance, an airline might offer a futures contract to an aviation gas distributor.  By executing this deal, the airline gets a definite price, and the distributor gets assured cash.  Both parties have to give up the possibility that prices could drift in the direction of their benefit.  (Farmers often trade uncertainty in  a similar way.)  But, when you are speaking of cryptocurrency, the benefits obtained and fees to be paid are both undefined, so the trading of risk cannot be accurately estimated.  Since this derivative is now not effectively trading risk, what is the investor doing?   Effectively, they are now going to a casino.  This is the crux of my concern.

Another thing that caught my attention is the amount of leverage that investors are given.   (Leverage means debt.)   in 2019, an offshore exchange was allowing up to 125 times for leverage.   They have moderated to only allowing usage of 20 times, but this is itself very worrying.   As you might remember, the housing crisis was triggered by leverage, allowing up to 30 times leverage.  But, these were large institutional investors, and even with their experience, they also went to excess and nearly bankrupted the American  public.  Allowing for 20 times leverage for normal investors seems rather dangerous to me.  Please recall also, that these futures contracts are extremely complex instruments, and unless the investor does exhaustive research, one can easily be misled.

Is there a case for trading cryptocurrency futures?

Well, yes, sort of.  Some assert that the futures market is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and this governmental involvement might make institutional investors less squeamish.  Their argument is that with the larger investors inside, the smaller investors might derive a smoother ride.   But this looks somewhat doubtful to me.  They go on to argue that because futures contracts are settled in cash, there is less risk.  I am also somewhat dubious of this logic too, because of the extreme volatility of cryptocurrencies.  There is also a self-certification process for many of their procedures and, with the majority of exchanges being in other countries, I don’t have a lot of faith in the accuracy of self-certification programs under the CFTC.

Are there Special Considerations when considering futures contracts for cryptocurrency?

The futures market is well-developed.    But, the futures market surrounding cryptocurrency is  embryonic.   So, there are a few concerns that are special to this neighborhood of the futures market.   Therefore, it is unlike other futures trading for other asset types. Here are some special considerations that you should contemplate while trading bitcoin futures.

  • The bitcoin pricing model seems to resemble the model for the futures contracts, and this is good.  Bu, the futures market appears to be much more illiquid, not allowing investors the quick exit they might be forced to make.
  • The regulatory environment for cryptocurrency futures appears cloudy.  Even though the U.S. is making efforts to investigate this and regulate it properly, most of the exchanges are located offshore, and beyond U.S. Law.
  • Derivatives were developed to hedge risk.  (For example, one might be forced to make a deal in a foreign currency and the derivative was there in case the foreign currency was substantially devalued.  You lose money on the deal, but you gain a little on the derivative, mitigating the loss.  With cryptocurrency futures, the “underlying asset”  is the same as the one being hedged, so there is no protection being afforded by the derivative.

Rest assured, your mature, deliberate Federal Government is moving with all due speed, and all constituencies are working together flawlessly.

Sorry, I guess that might have been a bit too much.  To the surprise of nobody, the different parts of the Federal government are all claiming that they have the most important role in this drama.

As a result, US regulation of virtual currencies has not been too incredibly organized.   Each agency has  been grabbing for a little piece of regulation of cryptocurrency futures:

  1. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) treats virtual currencies as property subject to capital gains tax.   So, say you bought a tranche of cryptocurrency for $5,000 in Year #1.  At the end of Year #3, you sell that piece of cryptocurrency for $12,000.   You would be taxed on that $7,000 capital gain. 
  2. The Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) monitors Bitcoin and other virtual currency transfers for anti-money laundering purposes.   I work in the Treasury department and there is a huge amount of focus on anti-money laundering (AML) activities.
  3. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) takes increasingly strong action against unregistered initial coin offerings.
  4. The CFTC also has an important role to play.   In 2014, the CFTC declared virtual currencies to be a “commodity” subject to oversight under its authority under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA).  Since then, the CFTC has taken action against unregistered Bitcoin futures exchanges (BitFinex),

The Verdict

When they started flying their kites and then airplanes, the Wright Brothers must have had some harrowing experiences.  Crashes must have been epic and frequent.   The futures markets for cryptocurrency are quite similar.  But, in this case, we are trying to build the plane that should carry us as we are in midair.  So, I don’t believe that I would recommend this to anybody.

REFERENCES

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/012215/how-invest-bitcoin-exchange-futures.asp

https://www.cftc.gov/sites/default/files/idc/groups/public/%40customerprotection/documents/file/backgrounder_virtualcurrency01.pdf

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/19/sec-bitcoin-funds-crypto-516218

https://www.ft.com/content/5c21e984-9acf-4293-8da2-202d125c332a

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

What happened to BitConnect?

Headline: BitConnect is now dis-connected?

Date:

Body:  Continuing with the thread of scams within the high-tech world, I was just watching a podcast that mentioned BitConnect.   They had a 30-second snippet from a company meeting, and it looked like a rock concert was being held in the compound of a very secretive cult.   Then I found this disclosure by the DoJ.  “BitConnect Founder Indicted in Global $2.4 Billion Cryptocurrency Scheme.”  It certainly made me want to know more.

Quick caveat here.  This is an indictment, and he has not been found guilty.   (It is sometimes said that you can indict a ham sandwich.)  But, unless they had a good case, I don’t believe that the Federal Government would be prosecuting him for this crime.  But, until convicted, he is to be considered innocent.

What is a Ponzi scheme?

It is not when a leather coat wearing greaser runs in the room and says “AAAA!!”  That’s a Fonzi scheme, and very different.    A Ponzi scheme is where you find a few gullible and greedy investors who sign on to get incredible investment results.  Each one then tells their entire network about the returns etc.   All the while, the first investors are actually being paid out of the investment of the subsequent investors.  For a short period of time, the instigator of the scheme looks like a real brainiac hero.  The key here is that the scheme always falls apart at the end, and the hope for the instigator is to be on a tropical beach (in a non-extradition country) by the time the jig is up.  The key for law enforcement is that the “investment opportunity” is a sham.  In this case, a $3.4 Billion sham.

In somewhat plainer English, what Mr. Kumbhani is accused of doing is suggesting that BitConnect had some sort of proprietary software that would allow them to make money from the extreme volatility of the cryptocurrency markets.  Investors would stake their own cryptocurrency with BitConnect in the hopes of earning a handsome return.   He ran this scheme for about a year, and then shut it down. (Probably due to cease & desist letters from Texas and North Carolina.)  The scale of this shutdown should be placed in context; Within a few hours, the cryptocurrency was trading at an 80% discount.   People got really hurt.

At the same time, he pressured his promoters to manipulate the market value of its own cryptocurrency to make it appear to be still valuable.  There also seems to have been some flavor of money laundering going on among cryptocurrency wallets around the world and any number of exchanges.  (This is sexy stuff, isn’t it?   Sorry, I probably should’ve warned you.) 

He faces these fraud charges in addition to wire fraud.  Currently he is “at large” but I suspect that this will change when a reward is offered.   The Federal Government machine has a very long memory too.

OK, this is a nice bedtime story.  Why tell me?

I am telling you this story to arm you against the fraudsters of this world.   There are a couple of very serious things that could be done by the “normal person” to keep themselves from falling victim to this:

  1.  I have said it before, I’ll say it again, if something appears to be too good to be true, it probably is.    If the promised returns appear to be astronomical and promise the stars, look carefully to be sure you aren’t being mooned.
  2. Do your own research.   When asked by a reporter how his software works, Mr. Kumbhani said that he cannot explain anything for “privacy reasons.”   If you ever see this, you should carefully consider just what is being hidden from view. 
  3. Greed is a powerful emotion.  If you are to be a successful investor, you must find a way to avoid being blinded.   Many of my friends have decided that they must be able to convince their wives.   If they can’t, then there’s probably a reason, and they pass up the opportunity.  In the alternate, if you are not married, you can have a “conversation” with a friend, or perhaps yourself.  If you can write a letter to a friend explaining this opportunity, and then re-read it a few days later you still get excited, then you might be on to something.  Have a system of some sort for slaying this green-eyed monster.

The Verdict

“Crime, particularly crime involving digital currencies, continues to transcend international boundaries,” said Assistant Attorney General Kenneth A. Polite Jr. of the Justice Department’s Criminal Division.  This ability to electronically and instantaneously send money to all corners of the world, and transact in all different currencies, make it very much more possible for people to run schemes and successfully launder the funds.  Fortunately, the governments of the world are slowly coming to understand a bit about the new threats they face.  As far as the U.S. is concerned, there is a very powerful law against wire fraud of all types, so it is difficult to envision what illicit activity will not be prosecuted.  Especially, as in this extant case, the man who was the lead promotor for U.S. accounts has already pleaded  guilty to conspiracy charges.

The take-home point of this piece is simple.  On your investment journey, there will be stories of exotic investments in far-off lands, all the time.  When you hear of these stories, ask yourself what the source really is.  After all, if the opportunity is real enough to believe in, would you be dealing in rumors?

 REFERENCES

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/bitconnect-founder-indicted-global-24-billion-cryptocurrency-scheme

https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/27/business/bitconnect-ponzi-scheme-satish-kumbhani/index.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-sues-bitconnect-and-founder-alleging-massive-cryptocurrency-scam-of-world-wide-investors-11630535853

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-02-26/cryptocurrency-founder-charged-in-2-4-billion-fraud

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

DAO!!

Headline: MMMmmmmm… DAOnuts!!!!

Date: 11/18/2021

Body:  First of all, with apologies to Homer Simpson, “D’oh!!”  What the heck is a DAO?    Is it:

  1.   A stock index (following the Dow.)
  2.   A strain of Eastern Philosophy (E.g. Taoism)
  3.   An exclamation one employs when one hurts one’s self in a totally avoidable manner.

A DAO is none of these things.  DAO stands for decentralized Autonomous Organization.  It does sound kind of funny, but stay with me.  This type of financing came to my attention when looking at Twitter, and there was an announcement that a group of investors had just purchased an original edition of the Constitution.  In this case, a DAO had pooled virtual currencies from several different parties, to purchase the very real document.  

Think of this like an IPO.  When a company decides to “go public”, they issue stock and then find an investment bank.    That bank, in turn, finds a bunch of partners to purchase the stock, and this is called the underwriting syndicate.   The DAO is simply another kind of underwriting syndicate, and they use (likely Ethereum)  virtual currencies to buy assets, thus forming a decentralized group.   No one government or Bank is in charge.  Apparently, the concept for a DAO was invented all the way back in 2016 in an effort to eliminate human error or manipulation by placing decision power in the hands of the computer, using human-written rules.  (Come to think of it, the investment function seems to act like an index mutual fund.)  Although the initial DAO expected to be out of business at the end of 2021, there seems evidence to suggest that other DAOs are possible in the future.

So, what the problem is?

In a word, hackers.   In a few words, the DAO framework has some well-known baked in vulnerabilities, and in 2016, hackers gained control of the equivalent of $50 Million USD. 

The other problem is that of who regulates it.   It was found, in July 2017, that the DAO sold securities, so it was illegal under SEC regulations.  Under the Securities Act pf 1934, in order to sell securities, the issuing entity must go through registration, which is an onerous process.  (There are a few exceptions to this registration, but this is the general regulation.)  The SEC found that the DAO was offering securities, and did not qualify for an exception, so registration was mandated.  For the record, though, the report did suggest that future determinations would be based upon the facts and circumstances of each case.  They go on to suggest that they are intrigued by the possibilities:

The SEC is studying the effects of distributed ledger and other innovative technologies and encourages market participants to engage with us,” said SEC Chairman Jay Clayton. “We seek to foster innovative and beneficial ways to raise capital, while ensuring – first and foremost – that investors and our markets are protected.

So, it would appear that in this one case, the DAO was on the wrong side of regulation, but, with subtle tweaks, there might be a tenable position.   Instead of placing anybody in prison, the SEC is instead focusing upon education of investors to make an informed choice.

History does have a way of repeating itself…

Just last year, a DAO set their sights on buying 1 of the 2 remaining original copies of the Constitution (the other 11 are owned by museums and governments.)  With only $5.5 Million, they secured the prize.  Said one expert,   “I’ve found it increasingly fascinating to watch this Cambrian explosion of cool web projects over the last year. The opportunity to actually build one out was something unique,”   This was said by Graham Novai, one of the  organizers of the DAO that purchased the Constitution.  “The Constitution is incredible,” he says, bidding for it “is this once-in-a-lifetime thing.”  But, it gets even more interesting, and potentially darker.

We also saw the potentially darker side of DAO-style activities when we saw the activity within AMC and GameStop.  People have an understandably difficult time shedding a tear for billionaires trying to get even bigger by putting their money with hedge funds… and getting squeezed like an orange.  But, if one reflects for just a moment, what if that DAO decides to turn their investing firepower on the investments I have?  Then, your reaction might be a bit different.  In many ways, a DAO is a super-charged mix of the elements that have recently interwoven finance and the internet: A previously unknown group of young people are today able to raise millions of dollars overnight, a task that would’ve once fallen to pedigreed financiers embarking on a multi-week, if not multi-month, sales trip.

The check we have on this new system of finance running amuck is, frankly education.  Even within a hedge fund, there are some legal protection.  (e.g. if there is a Bankruptcy, etc.)  Within a DAO model, there is NO legal protection at all.  Ever heard of the Squid Games?  The hucksters floated a token called Squid, and it rose in valuation FAST!!  When it became manifest that it was not connected with the Netflix program, the hucksters disappeared overnight with $2.5 Million.  If we can educate our young investors just how volatile this area is, perhaps we can also teach them how to lower the temperature, and calm the volatility, a little bit.

But, that speed and instability seems to be the really important attribute of the DAO.   It is FAST!  The Constitution DAO was convened and organized mainly over Twitter and Discord, and within less than a week, had the $5.5 Million in financing from 11,000 people.  Interestingly, the organizers are not paid.  Often, after a successful project, members will choose to give the organizers a “tip.”  Despite this lack of assured compensation, the organizers are very motivated.  “Candidly, it’ll be fun to be bidding against those people,” says another Constitution DAO organizer, Brian Wagner, 30. As a day job, Wagner is cofounder of Roadtrip FM, a music streaming startup. “They’re billionaires—old collectors who just want to lock this stuff away and keep it to themselves. That’s why everyone wants to get involved with this because people can actually collectively own this and decide what to do with it.”  So, given this enthusiasm level, I think we are likely to see more of these in the future.

The Verdict

Do I think that the mighty corporation is the best, most optimal business structure?   Not always, and not at all times.   But, it does certainly seem central to our economy.   In a similar sense, the DAO organizations just seem inevitable, and powerful.     For this reason, we must come to understand them, and perhaps regulate their most egregious potentially damaging  attributes.   Perhaps there will be a Federal agency given the role to learn about these organizations and in turn, educate taxpayers.  Only if we are fully informed can we make good investment decisions, both individually and collectively.

REFERENCES

https://www.forbes.com/sites/abrambrown/2021/11/16/what-is-a-dao-us-constitution-sothebys-goldman/?sh=7311285b1e46

https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-dao/

https://moneyweek.com/investments/alternative-finance/bitcoin-crypto/603213/decade-of-the-dao-decentralised-autonomous-organisation

https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2017-131

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

The Last Auction Hero

Headline: Different types of auctions

Date: 4/14/2022

Body:  So many of us are used to the image of an auction.   A richly paneled room with hundreds of well-dressed men and women, each armed with a paddle.   The price goes up and up and up until there is no other higher bid.    This is one type of auction, but there are so many other types, and I since cryptocurrencies, NFTs and other digital assets are so often placed into an auction, I thought that reviewing the major types of auctions that there are would be a productive use of time.  (Lest you think this is an outdated, uninteresting part of the dismal science, the most recent Nobel Prize in Economics went to a man  who did work on different styles of auctions.)

What Is an Auction?

An auction is a sales event where there is a process of “price discovery.”     The price changes up or down, until there is one person with the highest bid.   It is popular with both sellers and buyers because they both believe that this format of price discovery will lead to a fair value.  (I know that some of these auctions can lead to seemingly ludicrously high values for some assets, but really, that winning bid is evidence of “what the market will bear.”)  In the largest level, they can either be closed (where individual bidders don’t know about competition) or open (like at a classic car auction, where the owners are aware of the competition.

Are there different types of auctions?

Yes, as mentioned above, there are open and closed format auctions.  Beyond that, there are a few more to be aware of.

Government Auctions

Sometimes, assets come into possession of the federal or municipal governments, and to get some cash, they will auction these items.  As an example, I have a friend, Scott.  Scott has always wanted to own a Ferrari.    He did his homework and decided exactly what he wanted.   He scanned the government auction lists, and one week, he found one that had been seized in a legal proceeding.  He got a great price, the government got a little money, and everybody was happy.   Except for the miscreant who originally purchased the Ferrari.

Traditional (English) Auctions

In a traditional-style auction, as explained above, the starting point is usually pretty low, then works its way up, until there is no bidding.    The winner is the last bid.

Dutch Auction

Most often, this refers to an auction that starts at a very high value.   The price of the item drops gradually, until there is one bid.

Silent Auction

In my limited experience, this is most often a sort of fund raiser activity for a non-profit entity.  I belong to an organization called the American Nystagmus Network, and they have a conference every 2 years.  At that conference, they have a printed program with advertisements.    In recompense for printing an ad in the program, many vendors will donate a prize (e.g. a spa package or perhaps a gift card.)  These prizes will be placed on a long table, and a sheet of paper under each one.   If interested in an item, you write your name below, and the amount you are willing to donate to the organization and to hopefully win the item.  It is a great way to make money for a good organization.

Double Auction

In this type of auction, both buyers and sellers publish  prices they are willing to pay or accept.  They are matched, and then a transaction occurs under the watchful eye of a 3rd party.   OK, this one is most often within the financial markets, so it is very applicable here.   Picture the NYSE  circa 1992.    There is paper flying everywhere, and people wearing different color jackets are running around the exchange floor.   Hand gestures flash faster than gang signs in Compton.  When a seller finds a matching buyer, the exchange is done and the records are updated for both parties.

There is one other wrinkle that I know of…

When growing up, there was a development across the street, of about 20 lots.   The original developer went bankrupt, and there was an auction held right in the midst of these lots.   (I remember this well.)   What I most remember is what happened at the end.   Each lot was auctioned off serially, one at a time.   But, at the end, the auctioneer added up the value of all successful bids for the 20 lots, and gave everybody one last shot to bid higher on the whole collection of 20.  This detail caught my eye, as I was not used to it.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Auctions

Advantages

You can often find rare items at an auction.
Buyers can often get bargains at an auction.
At an auction, the seller is in control the whole time.

Disadvantages

Some potential buyers might pass up the auction due to the competitive nature of the event.
The fees to have an auction can be very high.   (For instance, there has to be a venue, and rental expense could be high.  There is also the auctioneer who has to be paid.)

 

Are there legalities that I should be aware of?

There are a couple.

  1.  When you enter a bid at an auction, it is considered entering into a legally binding contract.   Once you make that bid, if you back out, you can be sued.
  2. Collusion is possible at an auction, and in some countries, this type of bidding is illegal.  Check your local listings…
  3. If nobody bids on an item, negotiations can be executed between buyer and seller.

The Verdict

Auctions are so well-engrained in our capitalist system that is difficult to imagine our world without them.  And the tradition of auctions is not limited to the American system.     In many portions of the world, it is just expected that negotiations will take place, and people seem almost disappointed if you do not use an auction-like negotiating tactic.  The trick here, seems to be that you have to know the rules and customs of business before you take part.

REFERENCES

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/auction.asp#:~:text=of%20the%20bidding.-,Examples%20of%20auctions%20include%20livestock%20markets%20where%20farmers%20buy%20and,a%20host%20of%20online%20auctions

https://www.econport.org/content/handbook/auctions/commntypes.html

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/9781119205098.app4

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

NFT(ease?)

Date: 4/12/2022

Body:  Everybody has had some experience at an old style arcade, right?  For $5, you got a handful of metallic tokens.   Each one was of the same value, and looked, felt and behaved the same inside of games.  Because they are all the same, and can therefore stand in place of each other, they are considered “fungible” tokens.      Land can also have some value, but each piece is unique, so, it is not fungible.    In a similar way, works of art are all unique, and therefore non-fungible (Who would ever take a Dali over an original Picasso?)    There from, we get Non-fungible property.   So, when you try to buy a piece of virtual property, the particular video clip or artwork is like no others, this is now non-fungible just like the land.  So, these compositions are referred to as non-fungible tokens

Most usually, these non-fungible tokens are purchased in exchange for Ethereum or other cryptocurrency.  In addition to this unique piece of code (really, that’s what this is) there is another piece of code that marks this as unique.  Ok, why would anybody want this unique piece of digital art or music, or something similar?  Let’s assume that there is a new metaverse, this one for golf enthusiasts, we’ll call this virtual world, The Club.  When you join The Club, you can play golf virtually with friends around the world, enjoy virtual table discussions about golf, anything like that.   But, to stand out, you can use virtual currency to buy different clothing for your avatar.  There might be a very particular outfit that looks very good (to you) confers upon your avatar uniqueness.   So, you use your virtual currency for the outfit, and you are guaranteed that nobody else will have that outfit.  This outfit is now the non-fungible token.    Perhaps you have a digital house, and you wanted to make the inside unique, and saw artwork you liked.  Buy it with virtual currency and showcase that artwork in your “house” without any fear of anybody else having it.   This is another example of an NFT.

What Are NFTs Used For?

Blockchain technology is very attractive to artists.   First, they are able to safely sell their art without the use of an expensive agent or middleman.   Second, if setup correctly, the NFT can continue to earn the artist money when it is resold from one buyer to another.  Essentially, this is a perpetual royalty.  Art, in NFT format, has made its way into advertising too, and the most famous version of this was Taco Bell.  Even the NBA seems to be jumping on this bandwagon, as well as other stars.   Snoop Dogg has released several art pieces and other unique items as NFTs.

Why are NFTs important?

NFTs are exciting and potentially important.   They are important to artists of all types as they can avoid costly agents and register the work on the blockchain.  The buyer can identify their version as the original.    But, for the average investor, NFTs represent a highly speculative class of investment that should probably be avoided.   Because most of these NFTs are within the Ethereum blockchain, the authors suggest that investment in Ethereum itself might be safer.  Dr. Ozair of Rutgers Business school reminds us that, “Whether an asset’s value is in a bubble or not is determined in hindsight.”  He brings up the point that in Europe these NFTs are just beginning to be regulated, and the U.S. is likely not far behind.

Even so, non-fungible tokens could be an important technological development. In a new digital era that blurs the lines between the physical and virtual worlds, a new way to track digital asset ownership and distribution online will be increasingly important. These blockchain-based tokens could also disrupt financial intermediaries and lower the cost of buying and selling big-ticket items such as autos and real estate. That doesn’t necessarily mean you should invest in highly speculative NFTs, but, at the very least, their development is worth keeping an eye on.  Dr. Lenz of Duke University is particularly high on NFTs.  According to him, the potential of NFTs is just having its surface scratched.  He goes on to suggest that NFTs are currently in “the inverse of a bubble.”

The middle ground seems to be that you should consider investing if you derive emotional benefits from the NFT, and make it not a purely business decision.  Perhaps, if you buy a work of art from some celebrity, you get to meet them or get a personalized autograph.  If the perks are good enough for you, it could be well-worth the investment.

This is all really slippery.   What’s to keep somebody from reproducing it over and over again and diluting the value of my NFT?

In a word, not much.  But there is something about having the original, and with an NFT, you can prove it.   For instance, there are millions of copies of the soundtrack to Star Wars.   Each one is infinitesimally different from the original master possessed by (probably) George Lucas.  The copies all sound great, but they are not the original.  This is the power of the NFT.  Some people might laugh at this but, some NFTs sell for millions of dollars, and that is no laughing matter.

Who cares?

For me, a car is transportation.   Get me from point A to point B reliably, and I am happy.   But, some people like to evoke their own style by owning, say, a Corvette.   In fact, across the nation, there are many Corvette clubs, and the only entry requirement is to own one of these vehicles.  Generally, the men and women in these Corvette clubs are rabid enthusiasts of the brand.   Would you be surprised to learn that online, there are enthusiast communities too?    The first one was organized around cartoon penguins and the general word for these groups are now called “penguin communities” regardless of what the uniting attribute is.  The point is, within these online enthusiast communities, the NFTs can be seen to be very valuable.

Are these NFTs just like the Beanie Babies of the 1990s?

Perhaps.  I would suggest however, that they are slightly different because there is an entry on the blockchain to  register the original work as belonging to you.  Beanie babies (and for that matter tulips in that bubble) were not registered.  On the other hand, if the format of the code becomes obsolete or the company that makes that software goes bankrupt, the value of the NFT could plunge FAST!!

NFTs are also generally one of a kind, or at least one of a very limited run, and have unique identifying codes. “Essentially, NFTs create digital scarcity,” says Arry Yu, chair of the Washington Technology Industry Association Cascadia Blockchain Council and managing director of Yellow Umbrella Ventures.

OK, I’m psyched!  How do I buy these NFTs?

First there’s no reason to yell. Second, go to Kraken, or Coinbase or other reputable cryptocurrency exchange and get a wallet that can hold cryptocurrency and NFTs.   Third, buy a good supply of Ethereum which you will use to purchase the NFT.  Fourth, do your research very carefully.   Consider some of the larger NFT marketplaces like OpenSea, Rarible or Foundation and investigate the offerings and especially the people behind these NFTs.  (Please note that the procedure for verification differ markedly from platform to platform.)

Are there any taxes to consider?

Yes.   The artist who is selling the NFT will have income tax to pay.    The first buyer will have capital gains tax to pay when they resell the NFT (hopefully at a premium.)  Beware, if there are other cryptocurrency transactions associated with this, any gain on that part of the transaction will also be taxed at the capital gains rate.

The Verdict

So, it seems that we should consider the middle group.  NFTs are an investment.  So, if you do have plans to hold the NFT for a while, this could be an opportunity for you.  On the other hand, if you do truly get some additional utility from this investment, and the price is right, you are likely to have some great stories as a kind of dividend.  Be sure to understand any tax implications, keep the amounts small, and you might go do well with NFTs. 

REFERENCES

https://www.theverge.com/22310188/nft-explainer-what-is-blockchain-crypto-art-faq

https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/cryptocurrency/nft-non-fungible-token/

https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/market-sectors/financials/non-fungible-tokens/

https://www.gemini.com/cryptopedia/nft-non-fungible-token-crypto-collectibles

 Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

Throwing a Monkey Wrench

Headline: What is the Bored Ape Yacht Club, and what does it tell us about NFTs?

Date:

Body:  If one is good, then, ape is GREAT!!  Today, we are speaking about monkey business, a REAL monkey business.    Welcome to the Bored Ape Yacht Club.  Why am I speaking to you about this?   Am I simply aping what is a very popular current art form?  No, these guys are also an example of an N.F.T. club.  And, if you think the monkey puns are going to quit, wait for details!!   I’ll be swinging for each one!

What is the Bored Ape Yacht Club

It is a website where you can purchase an NFT of an ape, festooned in various styles of dress, doing various things.   They can then be used as your online avatar, and by purchasing, you get access to an online club of sorts.   This club is part art appreciation society, part social club. (I have to admit, they are pretty cute.  Don’t trust me, judge for yourself.) 

Laugh all you wish, the creator of the BAYC started out with 10,000 images, and the day after launch, they had all sold.  One expert in the crypto field, Matt Galligan said, “It became a status symbol of sorts, kind of like wearing a fancy watch or rare sneakers.”  And, this is backed up with numbers; trade within these NFTs has netted people almost $100 Million.  Many see this activity in very positive terms.  “When everyone’s got skin in the game, it creates a new dynamic, as opposed to everyone being able to say what they want and critique everything without consequence,” Drew Austin, a technology investor who owns three Bored Apes.   As you use the ape NFT, it becomes your identity, so, your anonymity is somewhat mitigated.    Interestingly, the founders also choose to keep their anonymity and go by the pseudonyms of Gargamel and Goner.   Each member of their staff has their own handle.  Of course, regardless of their attempts, a BuzzFeed article outed the real names of the 2 creators. 

Seeing the popularity of their creation, the Yuga Labs and 2 creators of BAYC have also started the Mutant Ape Yacht Club, using the same systems.  Recently, Yuga Labs airdropped a “serum” to owners of Bored Apes.   If they have their image “take” this serum, they will now have a mutated Ape.   Depending upon the rarity of the mutation, these apes fetch prices that are truly bananas.

Why apes?

According to the founders, when one buys a lot of cryptocurrency, it is called “aping in” (I can only guess that this is a snide reference to getting into cryptocurrency because you didn’t want to miss out.) 

Is this the only NFT club?

No, there are others.   Pre-dating BAYC were groups like CryptoPunks and Hashmasks.    All are alike as they make donations to related charities, have social events and other goodies.  (In BAYC, each member gets a dog picture too, from the Bored Ape Kennel Club and a donation to an ape preservation charity is made in their name.)  But, BAYC is a little different from these other clubs, in that the buyer gets the individual commercial right to reproduce that image on merchandise and to use it as they see fit.    Just recently there was an ICO for “Ape coin” and these were air-dropped to all who had purchased an NFT.  Far from a joke, this currency had a $3.7 Billion market cap on a recent close.  Far from a sham, I believe that this scheme was hatched because Yuga Labs wanted to have advice from a variety of  experts who could help them.   Reading a list of people who received a lot of Ape Coin, it seems that they will receive a lot of advice from experienced entrepreneurs and executives.

How  does it work?

When one “buys” an ape, one gets a standard ape with a random collection of attributes (controlled by algorithm.)   But, certain attributes like laser eyes are programmed to be less common, and these avatars often sell for much higher prices.  And, yes, some people buy hundreds at a time and sell them off, hoping to make a profit; It is a thing.  Amazingly, there is already a well-publicized number of people with “seller’s regret.”  One lady sold a figure for $1,500 just after the launch, and several months later will was seeing offers of at least $12,000 for the same NFT.

What keeps people from copying the image?

It’s pretty easy to block and copy and paste any image on the Internet.   To be honest, there’s not much more than a stamp on a blockchain, but per several sources,  the Twitter community and other social media communities are pretty serious about self-policing.  Yet, one serial entrepreneur in the space said, “It’s taking a gamble on the idea that, in aggregate and over time, the fans might know what’s best for the universe that they care about.”   Apparently, they are very willing to take a swing at this, as they purchased 2 of their largest competitors just 2 months ago.   Having said this, barely a month ago, the private Discord server for BAYC participants was hacked.   We shall see.

There is an interesting thing going on here.

The war between riches and “being cool” is not a new one.   In the music scene, very often new artists are seen as “cool” when they have a small cult following and only occasionally make a big splash or 2.    When they try to monetize (you know, to pay for fripperies, like food and rent) they are often seen as sell-outs.  Visual artists seem to have the same challenge.   In the research I have done for this post, this dichotomy is in full effect in this NFT area.

The Verdict

Regarding NFTs, we are at the very beginning of what promises to be a long and twisty road.  The main questions seem to revolve around the issue of “how can I ensure that my NFT will retain its value?”  A good question.    I think we (being a litigious nation) need to iron out the relationship between an entry on a blockchain and a copyright.  Some say that a copyright vests, just as soon as an entry is made on a blockchain.     Some say that copyright has nothing to do with the information on the blockchain.  Doubtless, in the not-too-distant future, there will be a court case or cases that look at exactly this issue.  For now, perhaps the best approach is to be cautious.  If you see an NFT that you really like, and it appears to be affordable, by all means, go ahead and test the waters.    Just don’t go too far underwater.

REFERENCES

https://www.newyorker.com/culture/infinite-scroll/why-bored-ape-avatars-are-taking-over-twitter

https://fortune.com/2022/03/18/what-is-bored-ape-yacht-club-nft-apecoin-explained/

https://www.coindesk.com/learn/whats-the-story-behind-bored-ape-yacht-club-creator-yuga-labs/

https://www.fastcompany.com/90735768/bored-ape-yacht-club-jimmy-mcnelis-king-nft-kingship-future

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

Dude, Where’s My Computer?

Headline: Cryptojacking

Date: 3/2/2022

Body: 

What is Cryptojacking?

Cryptojacking is a new word that refers to  a new kind of crime.  Technically, it is the unauthorized use of other Peoples’ devices.   These hackers take over the computers and cell phones and use them to create a network to more effectively mine cryptocurrency.  This is kind of like the “zombie computer” spread of a virus, but in this case, the computers being co-opted are being tasked to mine cryptocurrency instead of spreading a virus.  It is important to note that the aim is to keep this co-opting hidden from the local users so that the hijacker can use the increased computing power without additional expenses for electrical power.

Is this really a big deal?

Yes, there are 2 potentially significant effects:

  1.  A decrease in speed and performance of your computer or network.
  2. A significant increase in electricity usage.   Before you shrug this off, consider that the Bitcoin network currently uses more than 73TWh of energy each year.   In addition to increasing energy bills, this could potentially add a significant amount of heat that will damage your computer or network.

Is this problem getting larger or smaller?

This is one way to start a fight at a cybersecurity conference.   Some say that due to the efforts of police agencies and the shutdown of Coinhive, the problem is being mitigated.  But the severity of the problem can quickly ramp back up when the value of cryptocurrency begins to climb.   According to one security expert,  “When we did our midyear threat report for 2018 we found that Cryptojacking had a 35 percent share of all web threats and that is honestly absolutely insane,” says Tyler Moffitt, senior threat researcher at the security firm Webroot. “This is a new threat that just came out in late September 2017. Even if it drops down to 25 percent by the end of the year, it’s still clearly a force to be reckoned with.”

How does this malicious code make its way onto a network or computer?

There are 2 main techniques that hackers use:

  1.  People who are not very careful, click on a link  and cryptomining code is installed.
  2. If a website is infected with JavaScript coding, it can be co-opted.  When you visit the site, the malicious code is installed on your machine.
  3. Please note that sometimes, we say “yes” to limited Cryptojacking.   For instance, assume that there was this site where you do gaming.  Before you log on, the site may ask for your permission to use your computer for mining, while you are on the site.  If they stop using your machine when you leave, this is permissible.    But, to be honest, it’s difficult to know for sure whether they use our machines when we are logged off, so, be aware of the risk/reward tradeoff.

Have there been well known examples of Cryptojacking?

Yes.   2018 appears to have been the high-water mark, but in 2019, eight different apps were kicked out of the Microsoft Store site because Cryptojacking software was suspected to be active.  In 2018, there was an intrusion into the LA Times Homicide Report page, one attack on a European Water utility control system,  and there were multiple issues regarding Coinhive.

How can I tell if there is Cryptojacking going on?

SymptomComment
Decreased PerformanceIf the computing cycles are being used to solve these math problems, there will be many less to run your software, and you will be likely to detect a lag.
OverheatingCryptomining is a resource-intensive process.  You will likely notice that your device is running hotter than usual.  Much electrical power is used in cryptomining, so, if Cryptojacking is an issue, your processer will run hot and you might notice that your energy bill is a little higher than you would expect.
CPU Usage is not in proportion to the immersive nature of the site.If you are visiting a site that is very basic  and has a few small pictures and no video, your CPU usage should stay minimal.   If it is working hard for no apparent reason, there could be Cryptojacking afoot.

So, how can I prevent Cryptojacking on my machine?

There are a few preventative measures.  Many of these might seem pedantic, but the are all important, just like eating your vegetables.

  1.  Get a good security program to protect your machine from viruses and malware, and keep it up to date with patches and updates.
  2.  Be aware of the newest Cryptojacking techniques: Most cryptojackers are not too creative.  They will often hop on to a trend and use this one technique for as long as they can.
  3. Use browser extensions to control Cryptojacking attempts.
  4. Use AdBlocker software.
  5. Disable JavaScript.  Websites that have Cryptojacking software will often code it in JavaScript, so if it doesn’t “work” on your machine, then, there is no chance for Cryptojacking.
  6. Block pages where Cryptojacking is very likely.   Porn sites are very likely users of Cryptojacking software.   But, there are others too.    (Prepper websites are notorious for this activity too, so, be aware.)
  7. The biggest key here appears to be user training.   Your end users have to be trained how to avoid phishing attacks and to detect other forms of social engineering.   Often, cyberjacking software and other malware (e.g. ransomware) will ride in on the same permission given when they click an innocent looking link.

The Verdict

OK, I am not a cyber-security expert, and I don’t play one on my own video-blog either, but it seems that a few commonsense  approaches can be of use here.  Don’t click on any links  for e-mails from unknown sources (e.g. don’t take candy from strangers either.)  Since you are likely not a cyber-security professional either, be sure to get the  benefits of having one on staff by signing up for a Web security program.  (Kaspersky has been noted often in these readings, but WebRoot, Symantec and others are good too.  Once again, Ben Franklin was right, an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.

 REFERENCES

https://www.kaspersky.com/resource-center/definitions/what-is-cryptojacking

https://www.crowdstrike.com/cybersecurity-101/cryptojacking/

https://www.wired.com/story/cryptojacking-took-over-internet/

https://blog.barracuda.com/2021/10/22/whos-using-your-computers-cryptojacking-degrades-network-performance/

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

Going Whole Hog!!

Headline: What is a “Pig butchering” cryptocurrency scam?

Date: 5/2/2022

Body:  I was watching one of the podcasts I like (Legal Eagle) and he mentioned a few cryptocurrency scams.   I thought this would make for a dandy blog post.   But there were too many of them for only one post.  So, we have already looked at rug-pulling, pump & dump schemes, and now we are led to a really terrible-sounding one (and it is) called “pig butchering.”  OK, please stay with me, I promise we will keep things kosher, and there will be no pictures, but for text conversations.

Pig Butchering appears to be a slow-play to get cryptocurrency from people.  It is serious.   In 2021, there was an estimated $7.7 Billion in cryptocurrency fraud, and $139 Million of it was associated with this pig butchering approach. In a rug pull, or in a pump & dump, the focus is on speed.  In this terrible paradigm, somebody is targeted, and temporarily the investment goes well.  Then, over months, the mark is bled dry.  Most often, it appears to begin over dating sites.  I can only assume that there are bots out there, looking for target people.   This is not surprising as the people on dating sites are probably lonely, and in a position to show off what wealth they have to a prospective  mate.  Don’t laugh: You might not believe some of the targets they successfully fleece.  This includes a man with more than a 20-year tenure in all types of law enforcement.

WHAT??  HOW???

This man was slow-played, over several months, using pictures of an attractive woman, and there were several “gestures” shared between them.   Text conversations were frequent and e-mail was pretty frequent too.  Eventually, she got him to sign some sort of mining contract  that promised to net him untold wealth.  In reality, it allowed her and her associates to “mine” all of the cryptocurrency he owned.   (They did this by having him sign up for a digital wallet at a site that was spelled very much like a reputable exchange.   In a cruel twist, he can see his money, right on the blockchain, but he can never touch the $15,000.

OK, well, this guy was probably unique, yeah, I understand…

No, this gentleman was not unique, in any manner.  As cryptocurrency investment in the United States skyrockets, Jenkins’s story is no longer a rarity. Scams are rapidly multiplying in the lightly regulated province of crypto, experts say, each boosted wallet and disappeared dollar underscoring just how mainstream the thievery has become. The Federal Trade Commission estimates that Americans lost $750 million to crypto scams in 2021, and the number could rise this year.

Law enforcement has been slow to rise to the challenge. The Justice Department recently announced a new task force focusing on cryptocurrencies, but it’s still very new and it remains to be seen how many scammers it can investigate, let alone arrest.

No one agency seems to have latched onto the scam that snatched Jenkins’s money, even though a Washington Post analysis of the blockchain records available suggests it is truly of staggering dimensions — with likely more than 5,000 victims in multiple states and $66.3 million stolen since August. The FBI did not respond to a request for comment.

Victims interviewed by The Post say that despite numerous attempts to alert law enforcement, they’ve yet to be contacted by authorities, leading them to believe no agency is even aware of the scam, let alone investigating it. Instead, they have organized on their own, in Reddit and Facebook groups, to commiserate and strategize.

This is really, really hard because crypto is so thinly regulated and folks are used to picking up the phone and calling 911,” said Joe Rotunda, the enforcement director of the Texas State Securities Board, which investigates investment scams. “Oftentimes, the law enforcement agencies deal with violent crimes or street crimes. They simply don’t have the resources necessary to prosecute a case like this and don’t know where to turn.”  Jenkins says that when he went to his local police station, they didn’t understand what he was talking about. He tried contacting both the FBI and Securities and Exchange Commission via their websites but never heard back.

Isn’t this simply some kind of Crypto catfishing?

Crypto catfishing appears to be a new harmony placed atop a very familiar melody.  In the Old West, women were tasked to “interact” with a  man who just had a lucky strike at a new mine, and find the location, so that the gold could be purloined first by somebody else.   I have even heard of some religious sects using, well, sex, to lure new recruits into the fold.   Is it any wonder that, with this new Internet tool, somebody is using a cat-fishing approach here too?  The tricky bit (atop the beautiful woman) is that the concepts concerning cryptocurrency are so new.   This means that an unethical person stands a pretty good chance to find a valid high-tech term and wrap an entirely nebulous cryptocurrency.  The law enforcement gentleman above was lured in with a scheme called “liquidity mining.”   (As an aside, as I write, in fact, a “woman” probably a bot is trying to catfish me on Facebook to do a similar thing.)

In case you were in any doubt, the mining certificate was phony, turned out to be one line of computer code, a smart contract that gave Alice complete access to his whole wallet.   He  went to the exchange and was unable to do anything to help.   He contacted the staff of Tether (the currency he was denominated in) and they were unable to do anything either without a valid law enforcement request.   Within the federal government, at least 6 agencies are  angling to be the regulator of cryptocurrency, as their budget and prestige would expand.  Given this environment, he found no help at all.

The pattern continues…

One woman  went on Hinge, and met a “man” who surprise, grew up in the same remote village in China as her adoptive parents.   She was slowly conned out of the $140,000 she derived from her late mother’s house.  The money was earmarked to help her family create a new life in California, and slowly, Hao convinced her to move more and more into the now bogus wallet.  When she saw the appreciation, she convinced her father to match the $140,000, which he did.  When the account appreciated to $1.2 Million, she tried to cash out, and was told that there would be “tax” of $380,000.  She’d been had.  When she went tearfully to tell her father, she was truly gutted.   “I messed up my life. I messed up my dad’s life,” Hutchinson said.  

Are there studies that have been done?

The Washington Post did a study and found 5,046 similar accounts with an average loss of $13,000.  (Quick math that’s $65,598,000 identified by the Washington Post, alone.)  These thieves have to take a lot of money because, to meet the “right” person and sucker them so badly, takes a large investment in time and risk.

Who is being targeted?

Simple answer: EVERYBODY!!  It’s not just the elderly and infirm being targeted, it’s professionals from all walks of life.  The Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) effect is quite powerful.  Powerful enough to overcome any kind of cynicism or conservative cast of mind.  Per the Washington post report, it is the “savvy people  in midlife are common victims” according to activists.

What can I do?

Well, you can do  a lot.   

  1.  When you go online, if a “person” unknown to you tries to strike up a friendship, ask them how you know them, and look for real connections.   If there are none, please consider not e-mailing back.
  2. Know that there is risks ahead of time.
  3. Contact your Representative or Senator and ask them to regulate these firms.

What do these scams look like out in the “wild?”

They are so insidious because the conversations begin in such a benign way.  The following text exchange was the start of a pig butchering that was quite “successful.”

In many reported cases, scammers spend weeks or months in a relationship before bringing up crypto and the potential it offers. Anyone who uses the web is at risk of crypto scams – not just those who have crypto investments. In fact, scammers put a lot of effort into walking you through your first crypto purchase through legitimate exchanges like Coinbase or Binance, as the screenshot shared with CoinDesk shows below. Things only go downhill from there.

Scammer text message 2 (CoinDesk)

We might be tempted to laugh at this, but remember that this exchange and hundreds of others unfolded over months, and was engineered to seem very organic.  I could present many more examples (roughly 56,000 reported in 2021, so, due to embarrassment, there were likely many more), but they all seem to follow the same script.

The Verdict

This is the point where I usually give you good news, alas, I have none in this case.   This all seems to boil down to lonely people who have an intense FOMO feelings.   Said one victim, “You hear all these stories about people becoming millionaires,” she said. “It just felt like, oh, well, cryptocurrency’s the new trend, and I need to get in.”  So far, nothing public has been done for the victims.  “The blockchain is kind of this permissionless frontier space,” said MetaMask’s Finlay. “You know, I don’t know if every user understands how much they really are kind of on their own.”  As you consider investing in cryptocurrency, please keep this statement in mind.

Oh, and Mr. Jenkins mentioned above, is undeterred by his misadventure.  Jenkins said he realizes now just how vulnerable he is. But, perhaps surprisingly, he wants to keep investing in crypto.  “I just feel like there are ways to make money,” he said. “Sure, some of it feels too good to be true. But if you treat it like gambling, if you have that mentality and approach it wisely, you can make a lot more than having it sit in a bank.”  He is right, it is gambling, and sometimes “The House” is not owned by your hosts.  Be careful out there!!

REFERENCES

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/04/04/crypto-scams-coinbase-liquidity-mining/

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/crypto-dating-scam/

https://www.coindesk.com/learn/crypto-romance-scams-dont-fall-for-these-dating-app-swindlers/

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.

Rug Pullers, Called on the Carpet!

Headline: Rug pulls are dangerous.

Date: 4/28/2022

Body:  In studying the stock market, people run into “chart patterns” and each pattern has an endearing name.  (I think there’s the iron butterfly, the pennant and several others.)   These are indeed evocative, but, do they have anything to do with cryptocurrency?    Hard to say for sure, but there are some evocative names for scams within the cryptocurrency ecosystem, and I’d like to say a few things about “rug pulling.”  Hundreds of hours of my childhood were mis-spent watching cartoons, and without exception, when one character would pull a rug from beneath another, hilarity would ensue.  It’s not quite so funny when it’s your personal fortune and future on the line.

Outside of a Tom & Jerry cartoon, what is a “rug pull”?

Rug pull is a reference to how suddenly the currency loses value.   In such a scam, usually just after a very successful ICO, the founders disappear with millions of dollars.   The rumors spread, and the value of the cryptocurrency they were touting goes down precipitously.  This particular scheme is quite popular and was responsible for losses of $2.8 Billion last year alone.  Usually these happen on the very open DEX (de-centralized exchanges) because there are no code audits.  Code audits are very important because each of the smart contracts (remember, really, just pieces of code) are inspected for backdoors that can make it easy for unethical promoters to steal money quickly.  (As I am doing my research for this piece, I have found dozens of examples of rug pulls on DEX exchanges and only one on a centralized exchange.)

Are there flavors of cryptocurrency scams?

Generally speaking, cryptocurrency scams fall into two different categories:

  1. Initiatives aiming to obtain access to a target’s digital wallet or authentication credentials. This means scammers try to get information that gives them access to a digital wallet or other types of private information such as security codes. In some cases, this even includes access to physical hardware. 
  2. Transferring cryptocurrency directly to a scammer due to impersonation, fraudulent investment or business opportunities, or other malicious means.  This includes social engineering of all types, and imposters who claim to be somebody they’re not.
  3. With the rise of new crypto-based investments such as initial coin offerings (ICOs) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), there are now even more avenues for scammers to try to gain access to your money. The background of these investments is beyond the scope of this article, but what’s important to know is that although crypto-based investments or business opportunities may sound lucrative, this doesn’t always reflect reality. For example, some scammers create fake websites for ICOs and instruct users to deposit cryptocurrency into a compromised wallet. In other instances, the ICO itself may be at fault. Founders could distribute tokens that are unregulated by U.S. securities laws or mislead investors about their products through false advertising.
  4. DeFi rug pulls are the latest type of scam to hit the cryptocurrency markets. Decentralized finance, or DeFi, aims to decentralize finance by removing gatekeepers for financial transactions. In recent times, it has become a magnet for innovation in the crypto ecosystem. However, the development of DeFi platforms is beset with its own problems. Bad actors have made away with investor funds via such avenues. This practice, known as a rug pull, has become especially prevalent as DeFi protocols have become popular with crypto investors interested in magnifying returns by hunting down yield-bearing crypto instruments.

I’m not a coder.   How do I avoid these?

  1.   Check for low liquidity.   If it is very difficult to transfer into another cryptocurrency or into cash, that might be a signal to not invest in that particular currency.  Be sure to check the 24-hour trading volume to see if it has liquidity issues or not.
  2. Do background checks.   Download the whitepaper associated with the currency, and really understand how it works.     Identify how you can change back into cash.   Identify the management team and understand how solid they are.  If the management team is not identified, perhaps you should take this as a sign not to invest.  Remember, the core team within management should be using their real names.  If some minor officials within management appear to be using pseudonyms, this could be OK.
  3. If it is a valid cryptocurrency(and not a scam) the developers will “lock” their control of the liquidity pool, and make it impossible for them to gain control of the financial assets.   They do this by “burning” the private key they used to start the liquidity pool.   So, as you read the whitepaper (you DID read the whitepaper, right?) look for a policy to burn their private key to the liquidity pool.
  4. As you read the whitepaper, you should not see dozens of grammar and spelling mistakes.   If you do, this is probably a bad sign.

Are there some current examples?

In November 2021, a cryptocurrency token associated with the hit Netflix series went from $2,586 to a penny. The project promised that an anti-dumping mechanism was written into the code, making the $SQUID token immune to a flash-crash. Supposedly, token-holders could only sell by also holding the $MARBLE token. Yet, the anonymous founders made off with approximately $3.3 million with virtually no consequences.  

Filed under the hashtag, “ironic” there was a project called “Waronrugs” and there was a DEX campaign to raise money to look carefully at some of these projects.  As soon as the liquidity pool was $2 Million, the developers skipped town with all of the money.  (Kind of like The Producers, huh??)

Who is supposed to regulate these markets?

Well, nobody really.    Let me explain.   Some of the frauds are investigated by the DOJ after receiving a heads-up from the IRS.  The FTC writes information about cryptocurrency in a variety of publications.    The CFPB is also involved.   To be blunt, it’s really alphabet soup run amuck right now.  There is little organization, cooperation is, well…  Everybody CAN find a way to get involved, so nobody is held accountable.  (I keep seeing references to the “Wild West” but this seems simplistic.)  Whatever agency comes to regulate cryptocurrency, they will have their hands very full, as the novelty will bring numerous scammers, jammers and spammers.

The Verdict

Still ringing in my ears are the words from my Dad.  “If it seems too good to be true, it probably is.”  Multiple articles point this out in various ways, but, it all comes out to the same thing.     If you see the word “guarantee” run away.   If you see a term within the whitepaper that you are unsure of, please consider investing elsewhere.  If you can’t understand the purpose of the ICO, consider not investing with them.  If you can’t see the possibility of selling an NFT, consider not buying it.  Cryptocurrency can be exciting, but it shouldn’t include a near-death-experience with that excitement.

REFERENCES

https://fortune.com/2022/03/02/crypto-scam-rug-pull-what-is-it/#:~:text=Rug%20pulls%20are%20a%20lucrative,hundreds%20of%20millions%20of%20dollars.

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/12/17/defi-rug-pull-scams-pulled-in-28b-this-year-chainalysis/

https://www.theverge.com/2022/3/24/22995107/us-arrest-charges-crypto-nft-rug-pull-frosties-ethan-nguyen-andre-llacuna

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/11/02/squid-game-crypto-rug-pull/

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/042315/beware-these-five-bitcoin-scams.asp

Editor’s Note: Please note that the information contained herein is meant only for general education: This should not be construed as Tax Advice.   Personal attributes could make a material difference in the advice given, so, before taking action, please consult your tax advisor or CPA.